Climate change in the future
The impacts of human induced climate change will continue into the future. In Australia, average temperature increases of 0.7 to 1.2°C are likely by 2030 together with changes in rainfall patterns and the frequency and/or intensity of extreme weather events such as drought and severe storms.
The Australian Government is working with CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology to model future climate change scenarios.
Projections for Australia
Projections for Australia have been prepared for the Australian Climate Change Science Program
by CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.
The projections, presented in Climate Change in Australia
confirm that Australia will get hotter and is likely to become dryer in the south. The report includes information on likely changes in tropical cyclones, large hail, fire weather and drought frequency as well as the probability of change in temperature and rainfall rather than simple ranges of possible change.
How do we project future climate change?
Scientists use sophisticated numerical models to project future climate. To find out what the models do, their limitations and the assumptions about future greenhouse gas emissions built into the projections, follow the link below.
Making projections accessible for decision-makers
The Government is providing $330,000 to the CSIRO to develop a new online projections tool. It brings together information in CSIRO's Climate Change in Australia
report and the current OzClim
into a single easy to use web tool.
It will help government, industry and the community understand how they can prepare for the likely impacts of climate change by enabling them to access and tailor rainfall and temperature projections to their local area.
It is expected to be available in June 2010.
• Helping local communities respond to climate change
– Media release, 4 March 2009
Projections for technical experts
OzClim provides an online engine to generate your own climate change projections using different emissions scenarios and the outputs of various global climate models (GCMs).